Channels, Fall 2017

Page 108 Beck, Diza, Searl • Bridges and Bandits Critical Value = 4.60 F = 17 Predicted Number of Terrorism Incidents (if asylum inflows are 100,000) - 274 95% confidence interval for mean number of Terrorism Incidents – b/w 160 and 388 95% prediction interval for mean number of Terrorism Incidents – b/w 83 and 465 Predicted Number of Terrorism Incidents (if asylum inflows are 600,000) – 537 95% confidence interval for mean number of Terrorism Incidents – b/w 290 and 784 95% prediction interval for mean number of Terrorism Incidents – b/w 246 and 827 Coefficients a Model Unstandardized Coefficients Standardized Coefficients t Sig. 95.0% Confidence Interval for B B Std. Error Beta Lower Bound Upper Bound 1 (Constant) 11.360 22.303 .509 .618 -36.476 59.195 Inflows Asylum Seekers By Thousands 2.630 .636 .742 4.137 .001 1.266 3.993 a. Dependent Variable: Terrorism Incidents Residuals Statistics a Minimum Maximum Mean Std. Deviation N Predicted Value 21.88 253.30 66.75 76.204 16 Std. Predicted Value -.589 2.448 .000 1.000 16 Standard Error of Predicted Value 18.111 48.496 23.531 9.385 16 Adjusted Predicted Value 20.09 352.63 65.21 84.236 16 Residual -152.783 162.698 .000 68.927 16 Std. Residual -2.141 2.280 .000 .966 16 Stud. Residual -2.808 3.109 .008 1.215 16 Deleted Residual -262.625 302.433 1.536 111.312 16 Stud. Deleted Residual -4.093 5.385 .075 1.838 16 Mahal. Distance .029 5.993 .938 1.856 16 Cook's Distance .000 4.151 .449 1.212 16 Centered Leverage Value .002 .400 .063 .124 16 a. Dependent Variable: Terrorism Incidents